How an Olympia couple could get ahead

How Ashley and Ryan Could Get Ahead: A Look at a (fictional but believable) Couple in Olympia, Washington

This article is meant to be illustrative. Ashley and Ryan are fictional but realistic. Their incomes, expenses, and situation are based on actual Olympia data. Your numbers will be different. But the principles, the math, and the two-year pathway are real and applicable to most dual-income couples in the South Sound.

Meet Ashley and Ryan

Ashley is 36. She's a policy analyst at DSHS, eight years in, earning $79,000. She's in PERS 2, which means a portion of every paycheck goes automatically toward a defined benefit pension she'll collect for the rest of her life in retirement. She contributes 4% of her salary to the state's 457(b) deferred compensation plan on top of that.

Ryan is 35. He manages a medical office at Providence St. Peter, earning $71,000. He has a 401(k) through his employer with a match, and he contributes 5% of his salary.

They have two kids -- a 7-year-old in second grade at Madison Elementary and a 4-year-old in preschool. They own a home they bought in 2019, lucky timing they're grateful for every time they check Zillow. They got in at $400,000 with a 4% rate. At today's prices, buying that same house would cost them significantly more per month. They're staying put.

Combined household income: $150,000. No Washington state income tax. On paper, that sounds comfortable.

In practice, it doesn't always feel that way.

Where the money goes

After federal taxes, FICA, and their current retirement contributions come out, Ashley and Ryan take home around $9,800 per month. Here's roughly where it goes:

Category Monthly Mortgage (P&I) $1,718

Property tax + homeowners insurance $550

Utilities (electric, gas, water, internet) $380

Groceries $900

Dining out $400

Childcare (preschool) $1,500

Kids activities, clothing, school $350

Ashley's transportation $350

Ryan's transportation $450

Health insurance (PEBB, family) $180

Subscriptions + entertainment $220

Phone (2 lines) $140

Personal care + misc $200

Total $7,338

That leaves roughly $1,200-$1,500/month after expenses and retirement contributions. Not nothing, but not the financial breathing room a $150,000 household income might suggest.

**A note on the health insurance line: $180/month for family coverage is genuinely low. On the private market in Washington, comparable family coverage runs $800-$1,200/month. Ashley's PEBB benefit through the state is saving this family somewhere between $600-$1,000/month in health insurance costs that never shows up in her salary. It's one of the most under appreciated parts of working for the state.

The problem hiding in plain sight

Ashley and Ryan are doing something -- they're both contributing to retirement accounts. But they're not doing much, and it's costing them in two ways.

First, Ryan isn't getting his full employer match. Providence matches 50% of the first 6% he contributes. He's contributing 5%, which means he's leaving roughly $355/year of free employer money unclaimed. That's the first thing to fix, and it costs almost nothing to do it.

Second, and more significantly, they're paying 22% federal income tax on tens of thousands of dollars they could be sheltering. Every dollar Ashley contributes to her 457(b) above her current 4% reduces their federal tax bill by 22 cents. They're currently contributing $6,710/year combined. The IRS allows $23,500 each. They have an enormous amount of room.

The goal of this article isn't to suggest they max everything immediately. That's not realistic with $1,500/month in preschool costs and a normal family life. The goal is to show a two-year pathway that gets them to $30,000/year in combined 457(b) and 401(k) contributions -- and to show what that's worth.

A quick note on Ashley's PERS 2

Before we get to the plan, it's worth pausing on something Ashley barely thinks about.

Every paycheck, roughly 7% of her salary goes automatically into PERS 2 -- about $5,530/year. She doesn't see it, doesn't decide it, and probably underestimates how much it's building toward. That money is funding a defined benefit pension that will pay her a guaranteed monthly income for the rest of her life starting at retirement.

At a conservative projection -- 25 years of service, final average salary of $90,000 -- her PERS 2 pension would pay roughly $45,000 per year for life. That's before Social Security. That's before anything in the 457(b).

The 457(b) isn't her retirement plan. It's the supplement that turns a comfortable retirement into a genuinely strong one. Keep that in mind as we talk about building it up.

Year 1: The easy moves

The first year is about fixing the obvious gaps without requiring major lifestyle changes.

Move 1: Ryan bumps his 401(k) to 6%

Going from 5% to 6% costs Ryan about $59/month more out of pocket. In exchange, he captures the full employer match -- an additional $355/year in money his employer was offering and he wasn't taking. This is the closest thing to a guaranteed return that exists in personal finance. Do it immediately.

Move 2: Ashley bumps her 457(b) to $8,000/year

Going from $3,160 to $8,000 means Ashley contributes an additional $4,840/year, or about $403/month more. But here's where the 22% tax bracket does them a favor -- that $4,840 in additional pre-tax contributions reduces their federal tax bill by about $1,065/year, or $89/month. The net cash flow impact is about $314/month, not $403.

Move 3: Trim $200-300/month from the flexible categories

This is where the article becomes illustrative rather than prescriptive. For Ashley and Ryan, the most obvious place is dining out and subscriptions -- going from $400 to $250 on restaurants and canceling two streaming services gets them there.

But every family's version of this looks different. Maybe for you it's fewer Uber Eats orders. Maybe it's one less Amazon delivery a week. Maybe it's a slightly less expensive family vacation this summer, or renegotiating your internet bill, or meal prepping on Sundays. The specific cut doesn't matter. What matters is finding $200-300/month somewhere in the flexible categories -- and for most families earning $150,000, it exists.

Year 1 result:

  • Ashley 457(b): $8,000/year

  • Ryan 401(k): $4,260/year employee + $2,130 employer match

  • Federal tax savings from increased contributions: ~$1,065/year

  • Total going to retirement accounts (including PERS 2): roughly $22,920/year

Year 2: The unlock

The 4-year-old starts kindergarten.

That $1,500/month in preschool costs disappears. This is the single biggest financial event in Ashley and Ryan's near-term future, and most families let it evaporate into lifestyle without noticing. A slightly nicer dinner here, a weekend trip there, a few more things in the Amazon cart -- and twelve months later, the money is gone and nothing changed.

The two-year plan redirects it before that happens.

Ashley also receives a COLA raise. Washington state employees typically see 3-4% annual adjustments. At 3%, Ashley goes from $79,000 to $81,370 -- about $197/month more gross, or roughly $154/month more in take-home. The plan is to redirect that entire increase to the 457(b) before it becomes part of the mental budget.

Here's how the $1,500/month childcare unlock gets allocated:

  • $700/month goes to Ryan bumping his 401(k) from $4,260 to $15,000/year

  • $154/month from Ashley's COLA raise goes to her 457(b)

  • Remaining gap to get Ashley's 457(b) to $15,000 requires about $430/month more -- covered by the remaining childcare savings and the small lifestyle trim from Year 1 still in place

Again, this is illustrative. Maybe for your family the childcare unlock doesn't come for another two years. Maybe there is no COLA raise. The point is that for most families, there is a moment -- a debt paid off, a kid aging out of daycare, a raise, a refinance -- where cash flow materially improves. The question is whether you redirect it intentionally or absorb it without thinking.

Year 2 result:

Account Annual Ashley 457(b) $15,000

Ryan 401(k) employee $15,000

Ryan employer match $2,130

Ashley PERS 2 (automatic) $5,530

Total $37,660/year

The tax picture

At $30,000 in combined 457(b) and 401(k) contributions -- before the employer match and PERS 2 -- Ashley and Ryan's federal taxable income drops significantly.

Today, their combined taxable income after current contributions and the standard deduction is roughly $113,000. At $30,000 in contributions it falls to about $96,000. They've moved approximately $17,000 out of the 22% federal bracket, saving roughly $3,000-$3,500/year in federal taxes compared to where they are today.

Put another way, the government is effectively subsidizing roughly $3,000 of their retirement savings every year. That's money that would have gone to taxes, now going to their future.

Over 25 years, $3,000/year invested at 8% is worth roughly $219,000.

What $30,000/year becomes

At 8% average annual return over 25 years, $30,000/year in combined contributions grows to approximately $2.37 million in their 401(k) and 457(b) accounts combined. That's not counting Ashley's PERS 2 pension, which at $45,000/year for life has a present value well north of $1 million depending on how you model it.

Compare that to their current trajectory. At $6,710/year over the same period and same return, they'd accumulate roughly $530,000.

The difference between doing what they're doing now and executing this two-year plan: approximately $1.84 million.

One more thing worth noting about Ashley's 457(b) specifically. Unlike a 401(k) or traditional IRA, a 457(b) has no 10% early withdrawal penalty. If Ashley and Ryan ever find themselves in a position to retire or semi-retire before 59.5, that account is accessible without penalty. That flexibility is worth something, especially for a couple that might realistically be looking at a strong financial position by their late 50s.

The short version

Ashley and Ryan aren't making financial mistakes. They're doing what most people do -- contributing something, living their lives, and assuming they'll figure out the rest later.

The two-year plan doesn't require them to sacrifice their lifestyle. It requires Ryan to capture a match he's already been offered. It requires Ashley to bump a percentage on a form. It requires a small trim somewhere in the flexible budget -- Uber Eats, subscriptions, one less expensive vacation, whatever their version of that is. And it requires them to decide, before the preschool bill goes away, what that $1,500/month is going to do next.

That's it. Everything else is math and time.

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Investment Guide for Washington State Workers in PERS 2

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Gearing up for retirement in Olympia